Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 4.074886 4.387397 4.725389 5.120456 5.572626 6.077753 6.690094
2025-11-16 3.509924 3.928011 4.410948 5.018910 5.777184 6.711097 7.981323
2025-11-23 3.239153 3.719437 4.299652 5.069825 6.094726 7.460027 9.512532
2025-11-30 3.024530 3.539033 4.181679 5.070291 6.316010 8.089331 11.008432
2025-12-07 2.787357 3.302220 3.959778 4.894747 6.254470 8.286725 11.876638
2025-12-14 2.590883 3.099479 3.760570 4.721957 6.163118 8.408373 12.632480
2025-12-21 2.475659 2.993018 3.678548 4.700706 6.286623 8.880552 14.154245
2025-12-28 2.372315 2.894222 3.597405 4.669271 6.384810 9.320975 15.764036
2026-01-04 2.262719 2.779688 3.485195 4.579236 6.374005 9.561729 17.030387
2026-01-11 2.196826 2.720933 3.447167 4.596942 6.541261 10.160451 19.414872
2026-01-18 2.154223 2.691588 3.448492 4.674254 6.818471 11.032005 23.036026
2026-01-25 2.168337 2.742405 3.569843 4.954003 7.499329 12.938136 31.578918
2026-02-01 2.079812 2.646264 3.472109 4.876425 7.526569 13.452295 36.146382
2026-02-08 1.988101 2.542395 3.358380 4.765535 7.481597 13.806962 40.777146
2026-02-15 1.940321 2.500389 3.337141 4.811714 7.760819 15.101000 53.124886
2026-02-22 1.886654 2.446480 3.293068 4.812123 7.943437 16.211187 68.432793
2026-03-01 1.803427 2.344236 3.165937 4.650822 7.748813 16.129095 74.045555
2026-03-08 1.726251 2.248313 3.044561 4.491755 7.541029 15.957112 78.920612
2026-03-15 1.682341 2.201336 3.000141 4.472170 7.648917 16.866443 102.672957
2026-03-22 1.639527 2.154231 2.952911 4.443194 7.730798 17.733607 136.552377
2026-03-29 1.589113 2.093508 2.880270 4.360143 7.671813 18.072715 167.426514
2026-04-05 1.560124 2.064975 2.859778 4.376482 7.860148 19.473333 279.087865
2026-04-12 1.542532 2.053459 2.867063 4.447787 8.200775 21.746788 794.447240